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Public prediction log

Receipts, not promises

Every pre-breakout alert our radar emits is timestamped, then re-measured daily against real YouTube view counts. This log shows them all — the wins and the misses. No cherry-picking: an honest signal has to survive in public.

Outcome tracking started July 2, 2026. Numbers get published here only once their sample is statistically meaningful — not before.

6.3×

First measured number. An early-phase alert kept growing over the next 5 days in 40.5% of cases, vs a 6.5% baseline across every tracked signal-day — 6.3× more likely to keep growing than a random trend.

Backtest on 84 measurable early alerts, Jul 2–12, 2026 · baseline from 3,341 signal-day observations · bigger-move stats (≥1.5× growth) stay unpublished until their sample is meaningful.

The window is the product. Volume-ranked trend feeds surface a topic at its loudest — which is often after its window has closed. This log works the other way: the call goes out while the signal is still climbing (phase-labeled), the outcome is re-measured in public, and each entry below shows whether its window is still open today.

  • 2026-07-15momentumClaude Built the Ultimate Second Brain… measuring
  • 2026-07-15earlyWhy Bobby Left Our Podcast...… measuring
  • 2026-07-15earlyWhy Your Tendons Never Heal (And How To Fix Them)… measuring
  • 2026-07-15earlyNot the answer that I expected...… measuring
  • 2026-07-15momentumHeyGen AI video generator just changed the game...… measuring
  • 2026-07-14earlyWhy Bobby Left Our Podcast...126,884→185,458↗ rising +46% / 1dwindow open
  • 2026-07-14momentumWhere You Place the Blame Is Where the Power Goes21,411→24,538→ flat +15% / 1dwindow closed
  • 2026-07-14momentumWhy Biaheza Sold His Real Estate...123,985→137,812→ flat +11% / 1dwindow closed
  • 2026-07-14earlyWhy Your Tendons Never Heal (And How To Fix Them)1,497,825→1,605,645→ flat +7% / 1dwindow open
  • 2026-07-14earlyNot the answer that I expected...5,599,605→5,781,937→ flat +3% / 1dwindow open
  • 2026-07-14earlyI Tried To Do Every Exercise (Brutal Challenge)4,584,194→4,595,587→ flat +0% / 1dwindow closed
  • 2026-07-13momentumWhy Biaheza Sold His Real Estate...85,719→137,812▲ strong +61% / 2dwindow closed
  • 2026-07-13momentumI Think You Can Do More81,352→125,609▲ strong +54% / 2dwindow closed
  • 2026-07-13earlyHow The U.S. Uses Israel107,400→143,779↗ rising +34% / 2dwindow closed
  • 2026-07-13momentumStay focused. Narrow your group.20,008→26,637↗ rising +33% / 2dwindow closed
  • 2026-07-13earlyWhy Your Tendons Never Heal (And How To Fix Them)1,346,542→1,605,645→ flat +19% / 2dwindow open
  • 2026-07-13earlyNot the answer that I expected...5,406,795→5,781,937→ flat +7% / 2dwindow open
  • 2026-07-12momentumDiscounting Is Negotiating With Terrorists24,406→60,208▲ strong +147% / 3dwindow closed
  • 2026-07-12momentumWhy Biaheza Sold His Real Estate...56,993→137,812▲ strong +142% / 3dwindow closed
  • 2026-07-12momentumTop 3 Cryptos To Buy Now 🔥15,419→27,339▲ strong +77% / 3dwindow closed
  • 2026-07-12momentumGrok 4.5 is a bigger deal than Fable 535,412→59,876▲ strong +69% / 3dwindow closed
  • 2026-07-12momentumWho Actually Brings You Down18,766→31,611▲ strong +68% / 3dwindow closed
  • 2026-07-12momentumWhat I Would Do To Go From 0 To 1M In 202671,638→116,152▲ strong +62% / 3dwindow closed
  • 2026-07-12earlyNot the answer that I expected...5,239,223→5,781,937→ flat +10% / 3dwindow open
  • 2026-07-11momentumHow We Got 500,000 Leads for a Book Launch18,454→25,591↗ rising +39% / 4dwindow closed
  • 2026-07-11earlyNot the answer that I expected...5,078,068→5,781,937→ flat +14% / 4dwindow open
  • 2026-07-10momentumI Made Millions In Real Estate…It Wasn’t Worth It.305,262→467,797▲ strong +53% / 5dwindow closed
  • 2026-07-10momentumGrok just broke the trend32,427→40,950↗ rising +26% / 5dwindow closed
  • 2026-07-10earlyNot the answer that I expected...4,858,504→5,781,937→ flat +19% / 5dwindow open
  • 2026-07-09momentumHow The U.S. Uses Israel34,480→143,779▲ strong +317% / 6dwindow closed
  • 2026-07-09early5 Spending Traps That Are Stealing Your Money31,472→64,734▲ strong +106% / 6dwindow closed
  • 2026-07-09momentumChina Is About To Pop The AI Bubble839,056→1,424,999▲ strong +70% / 6dwindow closed
  • 2026-07-09momentumWe just figured out how AI actually works (J-Space)84,844→142,985▲ strong +69% / 6dwindow closed
  • 2026-07-09momentumHow to Scale From $4M to $400M With Content You Already Have157,492→263,030▲ strong +67% / 6dwindow closed
  • 2026-07-09earlyElon Musk Fired Him From Tesla!105,915→162,011▲ strong +53% / 6dwindow closed
  • 2026-07-09momentumIf I Had To Start Over, This Is What I Would Do25,805→38,824▲ strong +50% / 6dwindow closed
  • 2026-07-09earlyWhy Harder Training Isn’t Always Better231,816→305,893↗ rising +32% / 6dwindow closed
  • 2026-07-09momentum10 Secret ChatGPT Codes to Make It 10x Better16,968→22,081↗ rising +30% / 6dwindow closed
  • 2026-07-09earlyNot the answer that I expected...4,674,746→5,781,937↗ rising +24% / 6dwindow open
  • 2026-07-09momentumThe Crypto Market Is About To Go F**king Crazy (30 Day Warning)35,617→40,405→ flat +13% / 6dwindow closed

Put the proof on your own page

A live badge that reads from this log. It refreshes on its own and never shows a hit-rate before the sample is real.

Lolik Receipts — live proof badge
<a href="https://lolikai.com/receipts">
  <img src="https://lolikai.com/receipts/badge"
       alt="Lolik Receipts — live prediction log" width="320" height="96">
</a>

Method: alerts are emitted by the Signal Vault each morning (phase-labeled: early = accelerating below its prior peak, momentum = at its all-time high). Views are re-read daily from the YouTube Data API. Topic-band alerts (search/news) aren't view-trackable yet and are excluded. Full methodology →